The Cardiovascular
ToolsCalculators

Risk of Paradoxical Embolism (RoPE) Score

Risk of Paradoxical Embolism (RoPE) Score
Age
No history of hypertension
No history of diabetes
No history of prior stroke or TIA
Non-smoker
Cortical infarct on imaging
Result0 points

Approximate PFO-attributable fraction of stroke: 0 %.

PFO-attributable fraction
0 %

When to use

  • Estimating whether a discovered PFO is likely the stroke mechanism versus an incidental finding in cryptogenic stroke.

Formula

Age band (18-29=5 … ≥70=0) + 1 point each for no hypertension, no diabetes, no prior stroke/TIA, non-smoker, and cortical infarct on imaging. Range 0-10.

Pearls and pitfalls

  • A low score with a PFO present suggests the PFO is likely incidental; a high score suggests it is likely causal.
  • Should inform, not replace, individualized multidisciplinary discussion about PFO closure.
  • The published attributable-fraction table is non-monotonic near the middle of the range (score 4 = 38% vs score 5 = 34%) due to small sample sizes at those score levels in the derivation cohort — this is a genuine feature of the original data, not a transcription error.

References

  1. Kent DM, et al. Neurology. 2013;81(7):619-25.